Traders converged on 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 25 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded nighttime minimums holding precisely at this threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the absence of any strong cold fronts or typhoon-induced cooling kept surface temperatures from dropping further, consistent with historical August baselines where daily lows average 26–28°C. Model runs and station data showed no significant deviations overnight. Revised measurements from additional monitoring sites or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome, though current verified records indicate strong consensus around this exact value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,750 Vol.
$33,750 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,750 Vol.
$33,750 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders converged on 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 25 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded nighttime minimums holding precisely at this threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the absence of any strong cold fronts or typhoon-induced cooling kept surface temperatures from dropping further, consistent with historical August baselines where daily lows average 26–28°C. Model runs and station data showed no significant deviations overnight. Revised measurements from additional monitoring sites or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome, though current verified records indicate strong consensus around this exact value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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