**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Late-summer conditions in the region typically feature overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with the specific 24-hour period aligning precisely with this threshold based on verified station data. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate strong agreement among traders monitoring real-time meteorological reports, consistent with the wisdom of crowds in assessing bounded scientific outcomes. A modest rain event and stable pressure patterns limited further cooling, supporting the observed minimum. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would realistically alter this resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Late-summer conditions in the region typically feature overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with the specific 24-hour period aligning precisely with this threshold based on verified station data. Market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate strong agreement among traders monitoring real-time meteorological reports, consistent with the wisdom of crowds in assessing bounded scientific outcomes. A modest rain event and stable pressure patterns limited further cooling, supporting the observed minimum. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would realistically alter this resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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