Current forecasts from models including GFS and UK Met Office indicate clear anticyclonic conditions and light southerly winds will drive modest daytime warming in Madrid on August 29, with highs most likely reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies. Recent cooling from a passing front has given way to this stable high-pressure regime, consistent with late-August climatology where Madrid averages near 30–32°C. Minor model spread around peak insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, while stronger warming signals would be needed to push probabilities toward 32°C or higher. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
31°C 64%
30°C 31%
32°C 5%
29°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
31%
31°C
64%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 64%
30°C 31%
32°C 5%
29°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$706 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,752 Vol.
31%
31°C
$2,183 Vol.
64%
32°C
$519 Vol.
5%
33°C
$466 Vol.
2%
34°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and UK Met Office indicate clear anticyclonic conditions and light southerly winds will drive modest daytime warming in Madrid on August 29, with highs most likely reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies. Recent cooling from a passing front has given way to this stable high-pressure regime, consistent with late-August climatology where Madrid averages near 30–32°C. Minor model spread around peak insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, while stronger warming signals would be needed to push probabilities toward 32°C or higher. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and UK Met Office indicate clear anticyclonic conditions and light southerly winds will drive modest daytime warming in Madrid on August 29, with highs most likely reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies. Recent cooling from a passing front has given way to this stable high-pressure regime, consistent with late-August climatology where Madrid averages near 30–32°C. Minor model spread around peak insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, while stronger warming signals would be needed to push probabilities toward 32°C or higher. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS and UK Met Office indicate clear anticyclonic conditions and light southerly winds will drive modest daytime warming in Madrid on August 29, with highs most likely reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies. Recent cooling from a passing front has given way to this stable high-pressure regime, consistent with late-August climatology where Madrid averages near 30–32°C. Minor model spread around peak insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C, while stronger warming signals would be needed to push probabilities toward 32°C or higher. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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