**Clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula are positioning Madrid for a dry, sunny August 30 with afternoon highs most likely reaching 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and ensemble outputs, show southwesterly flow under minimal cloud cover, yielding peak temperatures near 32 °C (89–90 °F) with negligible precipitation risk. Recent cooling from August 25–27 (highs dipping below 30 °C) has given way to rapid warming as the ridge strengthens, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs hover around 30 °C but recent August maxima often exceed 34 °C under similar setups. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54 % implied probability), with 34 °C as the main upside alternative if boundary-layer mixing or slight model warming occurs. New model runs and AEMET updates in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 55%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
14%
32°C
18%
33°C
55%
34°C
28%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
34°C 28%
32°C 18%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$20 Vol.
14%
32°C
$5 Vol.
18%
33°C
$69 Vol.
55%
34°C
$8 Vol.
28%
35°C
$35 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
6%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula are positioning Madrid for a dry, sunny August 30 with afternoon highs most likely reaching 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and ensemble outputs, show southwesterly flow under minimal cloud cover, yielding peak temperatures near 32 °C (89–90 °F) with negligible precipitation risk. Recent cooling from August 25–27 (highs dipping below 30 °C) has given way to rapid warming as the ridge strengthens, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs hover around 30 °C but recent August maxima often exceed 34 °C under similar setups. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54 % implied probability), with 34 °C as the main upside alternative if boundary-layer mixing or slight model warming occurs. New model runs and AEMET updates in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula are positioning Madrid for a dry, sunny August 30 with afternoon highs most likely reaching 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and ensemble outputs, show southwesterly flow under minimal cloud cover, yielding peak temperatures near 32 °C (89–90 °F) with negligible precipitation risk. Recent cooling from August 25–27 (highs dipping below 30 °C) has given way to rapid warming as the ridge strengthens, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs hover around 30 °C but recent August maxima often exceed 34 °C under similar setups. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54 % implied probability), with 34 °C as the main upside alternative if boundary-layer mixing or slight model warming occurs. New model runs and AEMET updates in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula are positioning Madrid for a dry, sunny August 30 with afternoon highs most likely reaching 32–33 °C.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and ensemble outputs, show southwesterly flow under minimal cloud cover, yielding peak temperatures near 32 °C (89–90 °F) with negligible precipitation risk. Recent cooling from August 25–27 (highs dipping below 30 °C) has given way to rapid warming as the ridge strengthens, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs hover around 30 °C but recent August maxima often exceed 34 °C under similar setups. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54 % implied probability), with 34 °C as the main upside alternative if boundary-layer mixing or slight model warming occurs. New model runs and AEMET updates in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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