Official forecasts for Madrid on August 30 point to clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure pattern, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 14–17°C. This range aligns with recent cooler-than-normal late-August conditions while remaining above the long-term average low of 18.1°C for the date. Model consensus and observational trends support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C outcomes, as small differences in dew points, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Final resolution depends on verified overnight readings from stations such as Retiro Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
13°C or below 33%
15°C 32%
14°C 25%
17°C 15%
13°C or below
33%
14°C
25%
15°C
32%
16°C
10%
17°C
15%
18°C
13%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 33%
15°C 32%
14°C 25%
17°C 15%
13°C or below
33%
14°C
25%
15°C
32%
16°C
10%
17°C
15%
18°C
13%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Madrid on August 30 point to clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure pattern, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 14–17°C. This range aligns with recent cooler-than-normal late-August conditions while remaining above the long-term average low of 18.1°C for the date. Model consensus and observational trends support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C outcomes, as small differences in dew points, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Final resolution depends on verified overnight readings from stations such as Retiro Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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