Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday night low near 64°F at Los Angeles International Airport, consistent with the historical average of 64.8°F for August 31 and recent cooling after a heat wave. A deepening trough is shifting flow to a drier southwest pattern, allowing the marine layer to strengthen and promote overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, though small variations in cloud timing, dew points near 60–65°F, and boundary-layer mixing create tight uncertainty around the precise low. Traders have priced near-equal implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins to reflect this forecast spread and limited upside risk for extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
64-65°F 48%
72-73°F 48%
55°F or below 35%
68-69°F 27%
55°F or below
35%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
48%
74°F or higher
5%
64-65°F 48%
72-73°F 48%
55°F or below 35%
68-69°F 27%
55°F or below
35%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
48%
74°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Monday night low near 64°F at Los Angeles International Airport, consistent with the historical average of 64.8°F for August 31 and recent cooling after a heat wave. A deepening trough is shifting flow to a drier southwest pattern, allowing the marine layer to strengthen and promote overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, though small variations in cloud timing, dew points near 60–65°F, and boundary-layer mixing create tight uncertainty around the precise low. Traders have priced near-equal implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins to reflect this forecast spread and limited upside risk for extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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