Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 30 shows a forecast overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning with the market’s leading 66-67°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow moderate radiative cooling overnight, while subsidence under high pressure supports the expected range; ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong trough or heat wave is projected. Historical climatology places the August 30 average low near 65°F, so traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast against the small but real chance of a deeper marine push that could dip readings a few degrees lower or, conversely, clearer skies raising the minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
78°F or higher 83%
59°F or below 79%
60-61°F 48%
66-67°F 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
79%
60-61°F
48%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
44%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78°F or higher
83%
78°F or higher 83%
59°F or below 79%
60-61°F 48%
66-67°F 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Vol.
79%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
48%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
44%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78°F or higher
$5 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 30 shows a forecast overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning with the market’s leading 66-67°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow moderate radiative cooling overnight, while subsidence under high pressure supports the expected range; ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong trough or heat wave is projected. Historical climatology places the August 30 average low near 65°F, so traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast against the small but real chance of a deeper marine push that could dip readings a few degrees lower or, conversely, clearer skies raising the minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 30 shows a forecast overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning with the market’s leading 66-67°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow moderate radiative cooling overnight, while subsidence under high pressure supports the expected range; ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong trough or heat wave is projected. Historical climatology places the August 30 average low near 65°F, so traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast against the small but real chance of a deeper marine push that could dip readings a few degrees lower or, conversely, clearer skies raising the minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 30 shows a forecast overnight low in the mid-60s, aligning with the market’s leading 66-67°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow moderate radiative cooling overnight, while subsidence under high pressure supports the expected range; ensemble spreads remain modest because no strong trough or heat wave is projected. Historical climatology places the August 30 average low near 65°F, so traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast against the small but real chance of a deeper marine push that could dip readings a few degrees lower or, conversely, clearer skies raising the minimum. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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