Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project NYC highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F under partly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors 82–85°F outcomes, as modest warming from southerly flow is offset by variable cloud cover and urban heat island moderation at Central Park versus airport sites. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong frontal passage or heat advection expected, keeping the distribution tight around seasonal normals near 82°F. Trader weighting of the top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range driven by exact timing of any showers and diurnal peak measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$54 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$356 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$346 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$386 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$465 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
2%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project NYC highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F under partly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors 82–85°F outcomes, as modest warming from southerly flow is offset by variable cloud cover and urban heat island moderation at Central Park versus airport sites. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong frontal passage or heat advection expected, keeping the distribution tight around seasonal normals near 82°F. Trader weighting of the top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range driven by exact timing of any showers and diurnal peak measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,904Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project NYC highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F under partly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors 82–85°F outcomes, as modest warming from southerly flow is offset by variable cloud cover and urban heat island moderation at Central Park versus airport sites. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong frontal passage or heat advection expected, keeping the distribution tight around seasonal normals near 82°F. Trader weighting of the top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range driven by exact timing of any showers and diurnal peak measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,904Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project NYC highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F under partly sunny skies with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors 82–85°F outcomes, as modest warming from southerly flow is offset by variable cloud cover and urban heat island moderation at Central Park versus airport sites. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong frontal passage or heat advection expected, keeping the distribution tight around seasonal normals near 82°F. Trader weighting of the top bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range driven by exact timing of any showers and diurnal peak measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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