Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a low in the mid- to upper-50s°F for Seattle on August 28, consistent with the climatological average of 55.8°F. Overcast skies, light showers, and moderate marine airflow from the Pacific are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing stronger temperature drops. Key variables include the timing of any clearing (which could enhance cooling under drier air) versus persistent cloud cover and wind mixing that moderates minima. Trader consensus centers on the 56–57°F bin as the most probable outcome, with elevated odds on 49°F or below reflecting model spread and tail risks from variable advection or humidity. Recent pattern shifts toward increased cloudiness have anchored probabilities near seasonal norms rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seattle on August 28?
60-61°F 49%
58-59°F 35%
56-57°F 34%
49°F or below 33%
49°F or below
33%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
13%
68°F or higher
5%
60-61°F 49%
58-59°F 35%
56-57°F 34%
49°F or below 33%
49°F or below
33%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
13%
68°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a low in the mid- to upper-50s°F for Seattle on August 28, consistent with the climatological average of 55.8°F. Overcast skies, light showers, and moderate marine airflow from the Pacific are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing stronger temperature drops. Key variables include the timing of any clearing (which could enhance cooling under drier air) versus persistent cloud cover and wind mixing that moderates minima. Trader consensus centers on the 56–57°F bin as the most probable outcome, with elevated odds on 49°F or below reflecting model spread and tail risks from variable advection or humidity. Recent pattern shifts toward increased cloudiness have anchored probabilities near seasonal norms rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan