Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
$270 Vol.
1%
28°C
$309 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,302 Vol.
12%
30°C
$1,398 Vol.
26%
31°C
$363 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,028 Vol.
15%
33°C
$754 Vol.
7%
34°C
$1,133 Vol.
3%
35°C
$258 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,149 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,387Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,387Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan