Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 26°C in Tokyo on August 27, driven by overnight cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow limiting radiative cooling under high dew points near 25°C. Persistent summer warmth and urban heat island effects keep overnight lows above the late-August climatological norm of about 23°C, while model consensus shows limited variability in timing of precipitation and cloud thickness that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning clustered around 26–27°C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations amid typical model divergence in boundary-layer conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
25°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
12%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
25°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$672 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,466 Vol.
32%
27°C
$562 Vol.
37%
28°C
$297 Vol.
15%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 26°C in Tokyo on August 27, driven by overnight cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow limiting radiative cooling under high dew points near 25°C. Persistent summer warmth and urban heat island effects keep overnight lows above the late-August climatological norm of about 23°C, while model consensus shows limited variability in timing of precipitation and cloud thickness that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning clustered around 26–27°C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations amid typical model divergence in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,707Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 26°C in Tokyo on August 27, driven by overnight cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow limiting radiative cooling under high dew points near 25°C. Persistent summer warmth and urban heat island effects keep overnight lows above the late-August climatological norm of about 23°C, while model consensus shows limited variability in timing of precipitation and cloud thickness that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning clustered around 26–27°C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations amid typical model divergence in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,707Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 26°C in Tokyo on August 27, driven by overnight cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow limiting radiative cooling under high dew points near 25°C. Persistent summer warmth and urban heat island effects keep overnight lows above the late-August climatological norm of about 23°C, while model consensus shows limited variability in timing of precipitation and cloud thickness that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning clustered around 26–27°C reflects this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations amid typical model divergence in boundary-layer conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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