Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's August 26 high will likely fall between 24–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain (60–90% probability), and northerly winds associated with an approaching frontal system. This marks a sharp drop from the 33–34°C peaks expected on August 24–25, driven by reduced solar insolation, evaporative cooling, and advection of cooler air masses that limit afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 26–27°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with uncertainty mainly in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore how atypical the current pattern appears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's August 26 high will likely fall between 24–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain (60–90% probability), and northerly winds associated with an approaching frontal system. This marks a sharp drop from the 33–34°C peaks expected on August 24–25, driven by reduced solar insolation, evaporative cooling, and advection of cooler air masses that limit afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 26–27°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with uncertainty mainly in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore how atypical the current pattern appears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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