Recent model consensus and official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C on August 26, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 29% and 32.5%. Persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny conditions with isolated thunderstorm chances create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, as afternoon clearing or brief cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads in global models show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while historical climatology for late August in the Yangtze River valley places typical highs near 33–34°C, underscoring the current heat anomaly. Traders will monitor updated CMA and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours for any revisions to convective timing or dew-point forecasts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
37°C 32%
36°C 30%
38°C 20%
35°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
14%
36°C
30%
37°C
32%
38°C
15%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
9%
37°C 32%
36°C 30%
38°C 20%
35°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$27 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
14%
36°C
$0 Vol.
30%
37°C
$11 Vol.
32%
38°C
$38 Vol.
15%
39°C
$0 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C on August 26, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 29% and 32.5%. Persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny conditions with isolated thunderstorm chances create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, as afternoon clearing or brief cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads in global models show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while historical climatology for late August in the Yangtze River valley places typical highs near 33–34°C, underscoring the current heat anomaly. Traders will monitor updated CMA and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours for any revisions to convective timing or dew-point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C on August 26, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 29% and 32.5%. Persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny conditions with isolated thunderstorm chances create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, as afternoon clearing or brief cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads in global models show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while historical climatology for late August in the Yangtze River valley places typical highs near 33–34°C, underscoring the current heat anomaly. Traders will monitor updated CMA and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours for any revisions to convective timing or dew-point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station point to a peak temperature of 36–37°C on August 26, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 29% and 32.5%. Persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny conditions with isolated thunderstorm chances create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, as afternoon clearing or brief cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads in global models show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while historical climatology for late August in the Yangtze River valley places typical highs near 33–34°C, underscoring the current heat anomaly. Traders will monitor updated CMA and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours for any revisions to convective timing or dew-point forecasts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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