Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
34°C 30%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
30%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 30%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
30%
35°C
$0 Vol.
21%
36°C
$7 Vol.
13%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs near 30°C can rise several degrees under lingering warm, humid air masses before cooler northerly flow arrives. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C, with 34°C edging ahead as the modal outcome. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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