Recent observations and seasonal climate patterns position 14–16°C as the most probable highest temperatures for Wellington on August 24. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook indicates near-average air temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region, consistent with historical August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C. AccuWeather’s extended forecast shows highs ranging 12–17°C through the month, with trader-implied probabilities concentrating around this band after recent days recorded 13–14°C maxima. Short-term variability from southerly flows and Wellington’s exposure to winds can produce 1–2°C swings, supporting the market’s emphasis on the central outcomes while assigning low weight to extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$106 Vol.
4%
14°C
$239 Vol.
22%
15°C
$157 Vol.
55%
16°C
$217 Vol.
20%
17°C
$181 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and seasonal climate patterns position 14–16°C as the most probable highest temperatures for Wellington on August 24. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook indicates near-average air temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region, consistent with historical August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C. AccuWeather’s extended forecast shows highs ranging 12–17°C through the month, with trader-implied probabilities concentrating around this band after recent days recorded 13–14°C maxima. Short-term variability from southerly flows and Wellington’s exposure to winds can produce 1–2°C swings, supporting the market’s emphasis on the central outcomes while assigning low weight to extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,232Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and seasonal climate patterns position 14–16°C as the most probable highest temperatures for Wellington on August 24. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook indicates near-average air temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region, consistent with historical August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C. AccuWeather’s extended forecast shows highs ranging 12–17°C through the month, with trader-implied probabilities concentrating around this band after recent days recorded 13–14°C maxima. Short-term variability from southerly flows and Wellington’s exposure to winds can produce 1–2°C swings, supporting the market’s emphasis on the central outcomes while assigning low weight to extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,232Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations and seasonal climate patterns position 14–16°C as the most probable highest temperatures for Wellington on August 24. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook indicates near-average air temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region, consistent with historical August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C. AccuWeather’s extended forecast shows highs ranging 12–17°C through the month, with trader-implied probabilities concentrating around this band after recent days recorded 13–14°C maxima. Short-term variability from southerly flows and Wellington’s exposure to winds can produce 1–2°C swings, supporting the market’s emphasis on the central outcomes while assigning low weight to extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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