Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Manila highs near 30–32°C on August 26, driven by the southwest monsoon bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that suppress peak daytime heating. Southwest winds and typical late-August climatology further moderate temperatures, with limited sunshine reducing radiative warming compared to clearer periods. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no strong signals for either extreme heat or significant cooling, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing and coverage of afternoon convection. Updated guidance from agencies such as PAGASA or international ensembles will refine the expected maximum ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 26?
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
30%
32°C
32%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
30%
32°C
32%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Manila highs near 30–32°C on August 26, driven by the southwest monsoon bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that suppress peak daytime heating. Southwest winds and typical late-August climatology further moderate temperatures, with limited sunshine reducing radiative warming compared to clearer periods. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no strong signals for either extreme heat or significant cooling, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing and coverage of afternoon convection. Updated guidance from agencies such as PAGASA or international ensembles will refine the expected maximum ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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