Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 24 project a daytime maximum of 22–23°C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. These outcomes hinge on model consensus regarding cloud cover and insolation, as reduced sunshine or increased northerly flow could cap highs at 21°C while clearer conditions favor 23°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 21–22°C, with current guidance reflecting a mild anticyclonic setup without strong warming signals from subtropical air masses. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and the narrow 1°C resolution bands, where minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could shift implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 24 project a daytime maximum of 22–23°C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. These outcomes hinge on model consensus regarding cloud cover and insolation, as reduced sunshine or increased northerly flow could cap highs at 21°C while clearer conditions favor 23°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 21–22°C, with current guidance reflecting a mild anticyclonic setup without strong warming signals from subtropical air masses. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and the narrow 1°C resolution bands, where minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could shift implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan