Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
19°C or below 81%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 41%
23°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
81%
20°C
18%
21°C
41%
22°C
23%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
19°C or below 81%
29°C or higher 48%
21°C 41%
23°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
81%
20°C
$5 Vol.
18%
21°C
$5 Vol.
41%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$310 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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