Recent short-range forecasts indicate Beijing will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 23, with afternoon highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thundershowers and variable cloud cover. These storms, driven by monsoon moisture and regional instability, can enhance nighttime radiative cooling or limit it depending on timing and intensity, creating the narrow spread across 22–26°C outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in dew points and wind patterns that directly influence minimum temperatures. With market-implied probabilities closely clustered, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on precipitation duration and urban heat retention, while awaiting refined 48-hour updates that often adjust lows by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
25°C 25%
24°C 23%
23°C 18%
26°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
14%
23°C
18%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
18%
27°C
7%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 25%
24°C 23%
23°C 18%
26°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
20°C
$27 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$75 Vol.
7%
28°C
$5 Vol.
13%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts indicate Beijing will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 23, with afternoon highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thundershowers and variable cloud cover. These storms, driven by monsoon moisture and regional instability, can enhance nighttime radiative cooling or limit it depending on timing and intensity, creating the narrow spread across 22–26°C outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in dew points and wind patterns that directly influence minimum temperatures. With market-implied probabilities closely clustered, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on precipitation duration and urban heat retention, while awaiting refined 48-hour updates that often adjust lows by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$139Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts indicate Beijing will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 23, with afternoon highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thundershowers and variable cloud cover. These storms, driven by monsoon moisture and regional instability, can enhance nighttime radiative cooling or limit it depending on timing and intensity, creating the narrow spread across 22–26°C outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in dew points and wind patterns that directly influence minimum temperatures. With market-implied probabilities closely clustered, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on precipitation duration and urban heat retention, while awaiting refined 48-hour updates that often adjust lows by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$139Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts indicate Beijing will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 23, with afternoon highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows shaped by expected thundershowers and variable cloud cover. These storms, driven by monsoon moisture and regional instability, can enhance nighttime radiative cooling or limit it depending on timing and intensity, creating the narrow spread across 22–26°C outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in dew points and wind patterns that directly influence minimum temperatures. With market-implied probabilities closely clustered, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on precipitation duration and urban heat retention, while awaiting refined 48-hour updates that often adjust lows by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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