Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 21–26°C for Toronto on August 23, 2026, with showers likely to limit daytime warming and keep values clustered around the market’s leading 20–22°C outcomes. Model consensus reflects a post-heat-wave cooling pattern typical for late August, supported by seasonal climatology showing average highs near 24°C that drop with increased cloud cover and precipitation. Traders assign minimal probability to 23°C or higher because steering patterns and moisture favor moderation rather than intensification, while sub-19°C readings remain unlikely absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 23%
19°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
27%
21°C
37%
22°C
23%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 23%
19°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$53 Vol.
1%
18°C
$95 Vol.
2%
19°C
$311 Vol.
7%
20°C
$1,138 Vol.
27%
21°C
$147 Vol.
37%
22°C
$852 Vol.
23%
23°C
$343 Vol.
5%
24°C
$101 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$90 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 21–26°C for Toronto on August 23, 2026, with showers likely to limit daytime warming and keep values clustered around the market’s leading 20–22°C outcomes. Model consensus reflects a post-heat-wave cooling pattern typical for late August, supported by seasonal climatology showing average highs near 24°C that drop with increased cloud cover and precipitation. Traders assign minimal probability to 23°C or higher because steering patterns and moisture favor moderation rather than intensification, while sub-19°C readings remain unlikely absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 21–26°C for Toronto on August 23, 2026, with showers likely to limit daytime warming and keep values clustered around the market’s leading 20–22°C outcomes. Model consensus reflects a post-heat-wave cooling pattern typical for late August, supported by seasonal climatology showing average highs near 24°C that drop with increased cloud cover and precipitation. Traders assign minimal probability to 23°C or higher because steering patterns and moisture favor moderation rather than intensification, while sub-19°C readings remain unlikely absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 21–26°C for Toronto on August 23, 2026, with showers likely to limit daytime warming and keep values clustered around the market’s leading 20–22°C outcomes. Model consensus reflects a post-heat-wave cooling pattern typical for late August, supported by seasonal climatology showing average highs near 24°C that drop with increased cloud cover and precipitation. Traders assign minimal probability to 23°C or higher because steering patterns and moisture favor moderation rather than intensification, while sub-19°C readings remain unlikely absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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