**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid typical late-summer variability.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Incheon International Airport TAF projects a maximum of 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds, high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C), and only a low chance of light rain or drizzle. Recent observations show daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 24–25 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers, but increasing cloud cover and a modest cooling trend are expected to moderate solar heating on the 26th. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any weak frontal influence, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 29–30°C, providing context for why outcomes cluster tightly between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA updates and model runs for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution toward one side of the narrow 29–30°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 34%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 34%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$16 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
1%
25°C
$17 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
9%
27°C
$18 Vol.
12%
28°C
$196 Vol.
12%
29°C
$108 Vol.
28%
30°C
$64 Vol.
34%
31°C
$8 Vol.
20%
32°C
$116 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid typical late-summer variability.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Incheon International Airport TAF projects a maximum of 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds, high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C), and only a low chance of light rain or drizzle. Recent observations show daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 24–25 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers, but increasing cloud cover and a modest cooling trend are expected to moderate solar heating on the 26th. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any weak frontal influence, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 29–30°C, providing context for why outcomes cluster tightly between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA updates and model runs for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution toward one side of the narrow 29–30°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$565Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid typical late-summer variability.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Incheon International Airport TAF projects a maximum of 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds, high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C), and only a low chance of light rain or drizzle. Recent observations show daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 24–25 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers, but increasing cloud cover and a modest cooling trend are expected to moderate solar heating on the 26th. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any weak frontal influence, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 29–30°C, providing context for why outcomes cluster tightly between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA updates and model runs for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution toward one side of the narrow 29–30°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$565Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 29–30°C for Incheon on August 26, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid typical late-summer variability.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Incheon International Airport TAF projects a maximum of 29°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds, high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C), and only a low chance of light rain or drizzle. Recent observations show daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 24–25 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers, but increasing cloud cover and a modest cooling trend are expected to moderate solar heating on the 26th. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any weak frontal influence, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 29–30°C, providing context for why outcomes cluster tightly between 29°C and 31°C rather than favoring extremes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA updates and model runs for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution toward one side of the narrow 29–30°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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