Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
3%
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$376 Vol.
1%
19°C
$849 Vol.
4%
20°C
$1,277 Vol.
5%
21°C
$1,809 Vol.
16%
22°C
$1,112 Vol.
28%
23°C
$1,318 Vol.
27%
24°C
$310 Vol.
13%
25°C or higher
$141 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,917Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,917Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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