Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish IMGW and international models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions. This setup follows a cooler, more variable period earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 26–27°C outcomes. Above-average readings relative to the typical late-August maximum near 21–22°C reflect the transient ridge influence, though modest model spread and limited instability keep higher temperatures (28°C+) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 30 will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 44%
26°C 30%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
44%
28°C
30%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 30%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$7 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$7 Vol.
30%
27°C
$52 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish IMGW and international models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions. This setup follows a cooler, more variable period earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 26–27°C outcomes. Above-average readings relative to the typical late-August maximum near 21–22°C reflect the transient ridge influence, though modest model spread and limited instability keep higher temperatures (28°C+) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 30 will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish IMGW and international models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions. This setup follows a cooler, more variable period earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 26–27°C outcomes. Above-average readings relative to the typical late-August maximum near 21–22°C reflect the transient ridge influence, though modest model spread and limited instability keep higher temperatures (28°C+) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 30 will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish IMGW and international models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions. This setup follows a cooler, more variable period earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 26–27°C outcomes. Above-average readings relative to the typical late-August maximum near 21–22°C reflect the transient ridge influence, though modest model spread and limited instability keep higher temperatures (28°C+) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 30 will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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