Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs for Karachi on August 30, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 30–31°C, positioning these as the market leaders at 26.5% and 44.0% implied probability. Persistent westerly winds of 15–20 mph, combined with high humidity (65–80%) and variable cloud cover, are limiting daytime heating below the seasonal August average of ~32°C while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations through late August show daytime highs stabilizing in the 30–32°C range with minimal precipitation, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of strong heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
31°C 44%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
28°C 7.4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
28°C 7.4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs for Karachi on August 30, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 30–31°C, positioning these as the market leaders at 26.5% and 44.0% implied probability. Persistent westerly winds of 15–20 mph, combined with high humidity (65–80%) and variable cloud cover, are limiting daytime heating below the seasonal August average of ~32°C while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations through late August show daytime highs stabilizing in the 30–32°C range with minimal precipitation, consistent with the post-monsoon transition and absence of strong heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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