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icon for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?

icon for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?

72-73°F 26%

74-75°F 26%

76-77°F 21%

70-71°F 20%

Polymarket
BARU

72-73°F 26%

74-75°F 26%

76-77°F 21%

70-71°F 20%

Polymarket
BARU

65°F or below

$17 Vol.

1%

66-67°F

$0 Vol.

6%

68-69°F

$1,303 Vol.

1%

70-71°F

$42 Vol.

20%

72-73°F

$145 Vol.

26%

74-75°F

$46 Vol.

26%

76-77°F

$744 Vol.

21%

78-79°F

$5 Vol.

6%

80-81°F

$202 Vol.

3%

82-83°F

$0 Vol.

6%

84°F or higher

$33 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a partly cloudy or overcast day on August 27 with a high in the upper 60s to low-to-mid 70s, driven by the persistent summer marine layer of cool, moist air advected onshore by westerly winds off the 50–56°F Pacific. This layer, capped by subsidence from the North Pacific High and reinforced by the California Current and coastal upwelling, suppresses solar heating and limits afternoon warming across San Francisco’s varied terrain. Modest inland high pressure has allowed slight clearing potential without triggering offshore flow or a thermal low strong enough for significant heat, keeping extremes above 78°F low-probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology (average high near 70°F) support the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 70–77°F, with microclimate differences in fog burn-off timing and elevation creating the main uncertainty in exact daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,537
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a partly cloudy or overcast day on August 27 with a high in the upper 60s to low-to-mid 70s, driven by the persistent summer marine layer of cool, moist air advected onshore by westerly winds off the 50–56°F Pacific. This layer, capped by subsidence from the North Pacific High and reinforced by the California Current and coastal upwelling, suppresses solar heating and limits afternoon warming across San Francisco’s varied terrain. Modest inland high pressure has allowed slight clearing potential without triggering offshore flow or a thermal low strong enough for significant heat, keeping extremes above 78°F low-probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology (average high near 70°F) support the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 70–77°F, with microclimate differences in fog burn-off timing and elevation creating the main uncertainty in exact daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,537
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "72-73°F" di 26%, diikuti oleh "74-75°F" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?" adalah "72-73°F" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "74-75°F" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.