Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD points to a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow over Munich on August 27. This setup favors efficient daytime solar heating under moderate humidity (around 45-55% in the afternoon) and surface pressures near 1014-1016 hPa, with afternoon maxima expected near 29-30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing while minimal cloud cover allows peak insolation around solar noon. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 30°C and 31°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from modest warming or slight downside from increased afternoon cloudiness. Updated runs in the next 24-48 hours will clarify whether boundary-layer details shift the peak across the 30°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 27?
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$6 Vol.
1%
27°C
$116 Vol.
2%
28°C
$332 Vol.
4%
29°C
$108 Vol.
15%
30°C
$317 Vol.
32%
31°C
$654 Vol.
29%
32°C
$573 Vol.
14%
33°C
$10 Vol.
4%
34°C
$9 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD points to a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow over Munich on August 27. This setup favors efficient daytime solar heating under moderate humidity (around 45-55% in the afternoon) and surface pressures near 1014-1016 hPa, with afternoon maxima expected near 29-30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing while minimal cloud cover allows peak insolation around solar noon. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 30°C and 31°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from modest warming or slight downside from increased afternoon cloudiness. Updated runs in the next 24-48 hours will clarify whether boundary-layer details shift the peak across the 30°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,346Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD points to a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow over Munich on August 27. This setup favors efficient daytime solar heating under moderate humidity (around 45-55% in the afternoon) and surface pressures near 1014-1016 hPa, with afternoon maxima expected near 29-30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing while minimal cloud cover allows peak insolation around solar noon. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 30°C and 31°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from modest warming or slight downside from increased afternoon cloudiness. Updated runs in the next 24-48 hours will clarify whether boundary-layer details shift the peak across the 30°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,346Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD points to a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow over Munich on August 27. This setup favors efficient daytime solar heating under moderate humidity (around 45-55% in the afternoon) and surface pressures near 1014-1016 hPa, with afternoon maxima expected near 29-30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing while minimal cloud cover allows peak insolation around solar noon. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 30°C and 31°C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from modest warming or slight downside from increased afternoon cloudiness. Updated runs in the next 24-48 hours will clarify whether boundary-layer details shift the peak across the 30°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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