**Market-implied odds favor a narrow range around 17–18°C as the highest temperature recorded in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models.** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, while persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle or showers limit surface heating. These factors suppress the daily maximum relative to clearer conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and Met Office points to a daytime peak near 16–18°C, with hourly data showing brief spikes toward 19°C under partial breaks in cloud. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in Cape Town (typical maxima 16–18°C), though recent model runs indicate slightly above-average moisture and wind speeds that cap further warming. Traders price the tight clustering of 17°C and 18°C outcomes highest because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily move the observed maximum by 1°C either way. Resolution will depend on the official highest reading from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent verified station data, with the next model update cycles and any last-minute synoptic adjustments likely to influence final positioning before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 17%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
30%
18°C
35%
19°C
17%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 17%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$159 Vol.
2%
15°C
$52 Vol.
4%
16°C
$315 Vol.
7%
17°C
$72 Vol.
30%
18°C
$296 Vol.
35%
19°C
$499 Vol.
17%
20°C
$223 Vol.
3%
21°C
$97 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a narrow range around 17–18°C as the highest temperature recorded in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models.** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, while persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle or showers limit surface heating. These factors suppress the daily maximum relative to clearer conditions.
Official guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and Met Office points to a daytime peak near 16–18°C, with hourly data showing brief spikes toward 19°C under partial breaks in cloud. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in Cape Town (typical maxima 16–18°C), though recent model runs indicate slightly above-average moisture and wind speeds that cap further warming. Traders price the tight clustering of 17°C and 18°C outcomes highest because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily move the observed maximum by 1°C either way.
Resolution will depend on the official highest reading from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent verified station data, with the next model update cycles and any last-minute synoptic adjustments likely to influence final positioning before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,938Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a narrow range around 17–18°C as the highest temperature recorded in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models.** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, while persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle or showers limit surface heating. These factors suppress the daily maximum relative to clearer conditions.
Official guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and Met Office points to a daytime peak near 16–18°C, with hourly data showing brief spikes toward 19°C under partial breaks in cloud. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in Cape Town (typical maxima 16–18°C), though recent model runs indicate slightly above-average moisture and wind speeds that cap further warming. Traders price the tight clustering of 17°C and 18°C outcomes highest because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily move the observed maximum by 1°C either way.
Resolution will depend on the official highest reading from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent verified station data, with the next model update cycles and any last-minute synoptic adjustments likely to influence final positioning before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,938Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a narrow range around 17–18°C as the highest temperature recorded in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models.** Southerly winds are expected to advect cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, while persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle or showers limit surface heating. These factors suppress the daily maximum relative to clearer conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and Met Office points to a daytime peak near 16–18°C, with hourly data showing brief spikes toward 19°C under partial breaks in cloud. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in Cape Town (typical maxima 16–18°C), though recent model runs indicate slightly above-average moisture and wind speeds that cap further warming. Traders price the tight clustering of 17°C and 18°C outcomes highest because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily move the observed maximum by 1°C either way. Resolution will depend on the official highest reading from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent verified station data, with the next model update cycles and any last-minute synoptic adjustments likely to influence final positioning before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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