Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s under increasing clouds and a 30-40% chance of showers after midnight, which moderates radiational cooling. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching system, combined with dew points near 60°F, supports this range above the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 64.6°F. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or precipitation onset—common sources of forecast uncertainty 24-48 hours out—can easily move the minimum by several degrees, keeping probabilities for extremes and narrow mid-range outcomes closely matched.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on August 29?
55°F or below 67%
74°F or higher 67%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
55°F or below
67%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
67%
55°F or below 67%
74°F or higher 67%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
55°F or below
67%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s under increasing clouds and a 30-40% chance of showers after midnight, which moderates radiational cooling. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching system, combined with dew points near 60°F, supports this range above the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 64.6°F. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or precipitation onset—common sources of forecast uncertainty 24-48 hours out—can easily move the minimum by several degrees, keeping probabilities for extremes and narrow mid-range outcomes closely matched.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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