**Trader consensus on a 14°C low for Toronto on August 29 reflects model consensus for overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds shifting calm, following a daytime high near 25°C.** Current dew points near 14–16°C and surface pressure around 102 kPa support gradual temperature drops after sunset, aligning with late-August patterns where average lows reach 16.5°C. Official Environment Canada guidance points to a 19°C minimum, yet market positioning at 94% implied probability on 14°C incorporates recent cooler analogs and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official overnight reading from Pearson or City Centre stations; any stronger advection or increased cloud cover could push the low higher, while clearer conditions might allow further drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
14°C 94%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
9°C or below 1.0%
$2,244 Vol.
$2,244 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
94%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 94%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
9°C or below 1.0%
$2,244 Vol.
$2,244 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$170 Vol.
1%
10°C
$151 Vol.
1%
11°C
$105 Vol.
1%
12°C
$124 Vol.
4%
13°C
$15 Vol.
3%
14°C
$212 Vol.
94%
15°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 14°C low for Toronto on August 29 reflects model consensus for overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds shifting calm, following a daytime high near 25°C.** Current dew points near 14–16°C and surface pressure around 102 kPa support gradual temperature drops after sunset, aligning with late-August patterns where average lows reach 16.5°C. Official Environment Canada guidance points to a 19°C minimum, yet market positioning at 94% implied probability on 14°C incorporates recent cooler analogs and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official overnight reading from Pearson or City Centre stations; any stronger advection or increased cloud cover could push the low higher, while clearer conditions might allow further drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,244Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 14°C low for Toronto on August 29 reflects model consensus for overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds shifting calm, following a daytime high near 25°C.** Current dew points near 14–16°C and surface pressure around 102 kPa support gradual temperature drops after sunset, aligning with late-August patterns where average lows reach 16.5°C. Official Environment Canada guidance points to a 19°C minimum, yet market positioning at 94% implied probability on 14°C incorporates recent cooler analogs and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official overnight reading from Pearson or City Centre stations; any stronger advection or increased cloud cover could push the low higher, while clearer conditions might allow further drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,244Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 14°C low for Toronto on August 29 reflects model consensus for overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds shifting calm, following a daytime high near 25°C.** Current dew points near 14–16°C and surface pressure around 102 kPa support gradual temperature drops after sunset, aligning with late-August patterns where average lows reach 16.5°C. Official Environment Canada guidance points to a 19°C minimum, yet market positioning at 94% implied probability on 14°C incorporates recent cooler analogs and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official overnight reading from Pearson or City Centre stations; any stronger advection or increased cloud cover could push the low higher, while clearer conditions might allow further drops.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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