Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and light westerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 29. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Recent surface observations show dew points dropping into the low teens Celsius after earlier moisture, reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar insolation. Model spread remains modest but includes slight timing differences in any residual instability, which could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C depending on afternoon boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and light westerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 29. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Recent surface observations show dew points dropping into the low teens Celsius after earlier moisture, reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar insolation. Model spread remains modest but includes slight timing differences in any residual instability, which could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C depending on afternoon boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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