Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are keeping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms on August 29, 2026. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies, with west winds of 10–20 mph limiting afternoon warming by advecting cooler Pacific air. The closely matched market probabilities for 66–67°F and 68–69°F reflect uncertainty in marine-layer depth and the exact timing of any stratus thinning, both of which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. Recent August conditions have featured similar suppressed maxima around 65–70°F, consistent with the current setup where stronger pressure gradients reinforce the cool, stable boundary layer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
64-65°F 18%
62-63°F 9%
$14,962 Vol.
$14,962 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
64-65°F 18%
62-63°F 9%
$14,962 Vol.
$14,962 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are keeping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms on August 29, 2026. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies, with west winds of 10–20 mph limiting afternoon warming by advecting cooler Pacific air. The closely matched market probabilities for 66–67°F and 68–69°F reflect uncertainty in marine-layer depth and the exact timing of any stratus thinning, both of which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. Recent August conditions have featured similar suppressed maxima around 65–70°F, consistent with the current setup where stronger pressure gradients reinforce the cool, stable boundary layer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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