Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 17%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 17%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29 indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 33°C and 34°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover from preceding heavy rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically produce such convective activity that caps maximums near historical averages for late August. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these moderating effects against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 35°C, with resolution hinging on the day's observed high from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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