**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.** Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
20°C 49%
23°C or higher 41%
14°C 37%
19°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
16%
14°C
37%
15°C
21%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
41%
20°C 49%
23°C or higher 41%
14°C 37%
19°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$125 Vol.
16%
14°C
$5 Vol.
37%
15°C
$16 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$10 Vol.
49%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
14%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.**
Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$171Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.**
Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.** Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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