Official National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 29, 2026, points to a mostly clear night with light southerly winds under persistent hot, dry conditions, supporting a minimum temperature near 80°F. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on the 80-81°F bin, reflecting trader consensus around the consensus forecast low in the upper 70s to low 80s. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, but the current high-pressure pattern and lack of moisture have held overnight lows elevated. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected cloud cover or a frontal passage develops before midnight, though current observations and short-term models show little sign of deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
80-81°F 96%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 6%
78-79°F 5%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 96%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 6%
78-79°F 5%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 29, 2026, points to a mostly clear night with light southerly winds under persistent hot, dry conditions, supporting a minimum temperature near 80°F. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on the 80-81°F bin, reflecting trader consensus around the consensus forecast low in the upper 70s to low 80s. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, but the current high-pressure pattern and lack of moisture have held overnight lows elevated. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected cloud cover or a frontal passage develops before midnight, though current observations and short-term models show little sign of deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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