Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to sunny skies, light southeast winds near 5 mph, and a dry air mass sustaining afternoon highs of 101–102°F across Dallas on August 29. Recent days of 100–103°F readings under similar high-pressure dominance have reinforced trader expectations for the 100–101°F bin (53% implied probability) over 102–103°F (29.5%). Minimal cloud cover or moisture return keeps intensification unlikely, while the historical August average high near 94°F underscores the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Any last-model update before resolution could shift the narrow 45–55% range between the top two outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 29%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 29%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to sunny skies, light southeast winds near 5 mph, and a dry air mass sustaining afternoon highs of 101–102°F across Dallas on August 29. Recent days of 100–103°F readings under similar high-pressure dominance have reinforced trader expectations for the 100–101°F bin (53% implied probability) over 102–103°F (29.5%). Minimal cloud cover or moisture return keeps intensification unlikely, while the historical August average high near 94°F underscores the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Any last-model update before resolution could shift the narrow 45–55% range between the top two outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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