A warm, dry air mass has driven recent highs near or above 34°C across São Paulo state through late August, supporting trader clustering around 30–33°C for the capital on the 31st. An approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce scattered showers or thunderstorms by late day, which could cap afternoon heating and introduce model uncertainty in peak values. Local factors such as northwest winds, urban heat retention, and low humidity (often below 40%) favor strong daytime warming, yet the front’s timing near the resolution window creates dispersion in forecasts from agencies like INMET and international models. Historical August maxima average around 22–25°C, making this anomalous heat episode a key driver of current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
30°C 16%
31°C 15%
32°C 14%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
15%
32°C
14%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
30°C 16%
31°C 15%
32°C 14%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$520 Vol.
8%
30°C
$164 Vol.
16%
31°C
$75 Vol.
15%
32°C
$55 Vol.
14%
33°C
$12 Vol.
14%
34°C
$36 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C
$7 Vol.
1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
4%
38°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven recent highs near or above 34°C across São Paulo state through late August, supporting trader clustering around 30–33°C for the capital on the 31st. An approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce scattered showers or thunderstorms by late day, which could cap afternoon heating and introduce model uncertainty in peak values. Local factors such as northwest winds, urban heat retention, and low humidity (often below 40%) favor strong daytime warming, yet the front’s timing near the resolution window creates dispersion in forecasts from agencies like INMET and international models. Historical August maxima average around 22–25°C, making this anomalous heat episode a key driver of current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$899Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven recent highs near or above 34°C across São Paulo state through late August, supporting trader clustering around 30–33°C for the capital on the 31st. An approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce scattered showers or thunderstorms by late day, which could cap afternoon heating and introduce model uncertainty in peak values. Local factors such as northwest winds, urban heat retention, and low humidity (often below 40%) favor strong daytime warming, yet the front’s timing near the resolution window creates dispersion in forecasts from agencies like INMET and international models. Historical August maxima average around 22–25°C, making this anomalous heat episode a key driver of current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$899Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass has driven recent highs near or above 34°C across São Paulo state through late August, supporting trader clustering around 30–33°C for the capital on the 31st. An approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce scattered showers or thunderstorms by late day, which could cap afternoon heating and introduce model uncertainty in peak values. Local factors such as northwest winds, urban heat retention, and low humidity (often below 40%) favor strong daytime warming, yet the front’s timing near the resolution window creates dispersion in forecasts from agencies like INMET and international models. Historical August maxima average around 22–25°C, making this anomalous heat episode a key driver of current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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