Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
22°C 100.0%
21°C 3%
18°C 1%
19°C 1.0%
$1,943 Vol.
$1,943 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C 3%
18°C 1%
19°C 1.0%
$1,943 Vol.
$1,943 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$65 Vol.
No
14°C
$287 Vol.
No
15°C
$59 Vol.
No
16°C
$121 Vol.
No
17°C
$173 Vol.
No
18°C
$111 Vol.
No
19°C
$120 Vol.
No
20°C
$160 Vol.
No
21°C
$67 Vol.
No
22°C
$488 Vol.
Yes
23°C or higher
$290 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,943Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,943Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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