Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 4, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 27–30 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models. Light winds and frequent precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, preventing stronger afternoon rises. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 30 °C and 31 °C tied at 26 % each amid slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders are pricing the balance between partly suppressed peaks under overcast skies and brief windows of clearer air that could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
30°C 28%
31°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
BARU
$13,014 Vol.
BARU
$13,014 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
BARU
$13,014 Vol.
BARU
$13,014 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$128 Vol.
1%
25°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,115 Vol.
1%
28°C
$243 Vol.
7%
29°C
$3,448 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1,767 Vol.
28%
31°C
$688 Vol.
27%
32°C
$2,316 Vol.
17%
33°C
$3,066 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 4, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 27–30 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models. Light winds and frequent precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, preventing stronger afternoon rises. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 30 °C and 31 °C tied at 26 % each amid slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders are pricing the balance between partly suppressed peaks under overcast skies and brief windows of clearer air that could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,014Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 4, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 27–30 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models. Light winds and frequent precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, preventing stronger afternoon rises. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 30 °C and 31 °C tied at 26 % each amid slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders are pricing the balance between partly suppressed peaks under overcast skies and brief windows of clearer air that could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,014Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 4, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 27–30 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models. Light winds and frequent precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, preventing stronger afternoon rises. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 30 °C and 31 °C tied at 26 % each amid slight model disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity. Traders are pricing the balance between partly suppressed peaks under overcast skies and brief windows of clearer air that could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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