Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models indicate a high near 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Daytime temperatures are projected to peak midday to early afternoon before showers and stronger winds develop, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler conditions after warmer September 3 readings. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 22°C leading at 41% because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential from the current setup while still allowing for minor model spread around 21–23°C. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 4?
Highest temperature in London on September 4?
22°C 41%
23°C 25%
21°C 22%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
22%
22°C
41%
23°C
25%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 25%
21°C 22%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$189 Vol.
1%
19°C
$91 Vol.
2%
20°C
$297 Vol.
5%
21°C
$374 Vol.
22%
22°C
$573 Vol.
41%
23°C
$505 Vol.
25%
24°C
$729 Vol.
6%
25°C
$193 Vol.
1%
26°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models indicate a high near 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Daytime temperatures are projected to peak midday to early afternoon before showers and stronger winds develop, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler conditions after warmer September 3 readings. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 22°C leading at 41% because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential from the current setup while still allowing for minor model spread around 21–23°C. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,656Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models indicate a high near 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Daytime temperatures are projected to peak midday to early afternoon before showers and stronger winds develop, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler conditions after warmer September 3 readings. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 22°C leading at 41% because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential from the current setup while still allowing for minor model spread around 21–23°C. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,656Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models indicate a high near 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Daytime temperatures are projected to peak midday to early afternoon before showers and stronger winds develop, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler conditions after warmer September 3 readings. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 22°C leading at 41% because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential from the current setup while still allowing for minor model spread around 21–23°C. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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