**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 3, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely in the 17–19°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds favoring 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (35.0%).** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting warmer maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and moderate winds, limits radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to typical early-September climatology. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. Updated high-resolution guidance and observations through September 2 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 3?
18°C 42%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
36%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 42%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
36%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 3, 2026, with minimum temperatures likely in the 17–19°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds favoring 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (35.0%).** Persistent southwesterly flow advecting warmer maritime air, combined with extensive cloud cover and moderate winds, limits radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to typical early-September climatology. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. Updated high-resolution guidance and observations through September 2 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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