Recent forecast model runs from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai’s September 2 maximum will likely reach 28–29 °C under widespread cloud cover and periods of moderate to heavy rain, suppressing daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of September 1. High humidity near 80–95 % and northeasterly winds further limit temperature recovery, keeping the daily peak below the 30–31 °C levels favored in earlier outlooks. Trader sentiment remains split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts because ensemble spreads still allow for modest upward revisions if rainfall timing shifts later in the day; the next round of 12–18 UTC model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
$21,480 Vol.
$21,480 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
$21,480 Vol.
$21,480 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai’s September 2 maximum will likely reach 28–29 °C under widespread cloud cover and periods of moderate to heavy rain, suppressing daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of September 1. High humidity near 80–95 % and northeasterly winds further limit temperature recovery, keeping the daily peak below the 30–31 °C levels favored in earlier outlooks. Trader sentiment remains split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts because ensemble spreads still allow for modest upward revisions if rainfall timing shifts later in the day; the next round of 12–18 UTC model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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