Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 13–15 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near 10–15 °C. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity—driven by the ongoing rainy season—limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where clear skies typically allow sharper drops. Dew points near 12–14 °C and light winds further moderate overnight lows, keeping values close to September climatological averages of roughly 13 °C. Any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering patterns could allow slightly cooler readings, but current conditions favor the tightly bunched central outcomes over extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
8°C or below 98%
11°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
8°C or below
98%
9°C
3%
10°C
-
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 98%
11°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
8°C or below
$12 Vol.
98%
9°C
$27 Vol.
3%
10°C
$32 Vol.
-
11°C
$15 Vol.
50%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 13–15 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near 10–15 °C. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity—driven by the ongoing rainy season—limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where clear skies typically allow sharper drops. Dew points near 12–14 °C and light winds further moderate overnight lows, keeping values close to September climatological averages of roughly 13 °C. Any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering patterns could allow slightly cooler readings, but current conditions favor the tightly bunched central outcomes over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$237Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 13–15 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near 10–15 °C. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity—driven by the ongoing rainy season—limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where clear skies typically allow sharper drops. Dew points near 12–14 °C and light winds further moderate overnight lows, keeping values close to September climatological averages of roughly 13 °C. Any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering patterns could allow slightly cooler readings, but current conditions favor the tightly bunched central outcomes over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$237Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 13–15 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near 10–15 °C. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity—driven by the ongoing rainy season—limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where clear skies typically allow sharper drops. Dew points near 12–14 °C and light winds further moderate overnight lows, keeping values close to September climatological averages of roughly 13 °C. Any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering patterns could allow slightly cooler readings, but current conditions favor the tightly bunched central outcomes over extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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