Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 indicate highs near 30–31°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northwest winds of 10–28 km/h, which align with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Monsoon-influenced moisture and frequent rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from precipitation further limit peak temperatures. Northwest flow may advect slightly cooler air from inland areas, differentiating a 29°C versus 32°C scenario depending on storm timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional models shows minor run-to-run variability in cloud thickness and rainfall amounts, creating genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against Shenzhen’s early-September climatology of around 31°C highs. Updated forecasts expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
22%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$194 Vol.
1%
27°C
$105 Vol.
7%
28°C
$7 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$2 Vol.
28%
31°C
$59 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$322 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 indicate highs near 30–31°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northwest winds of 10–28 km/h, which align with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Monsoon-influenced moisture and frequent rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from precipitation further limit peak temperatures. Northwest flow may advect slightly cooler air from inland areas, differentiating a 29°C versus 32°C scenario depending on storm timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional models shows minor run-to-run variability in cloud thickness and rainfall amounts, creating genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against Shenzhen’s early-September climatology of around 31°C highs. Updated forecasts expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,250Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 indicate highs near 30–31°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northwest winds of 10–28 km/h, which align with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Monsoon-influenced moisture and frequent rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from precipitation further limit peak temperatures. Northwest flow may advect slightly cooler air from inland areas, differentiating a 29°C versus 32°C scenario depending on storm timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional models shows minor run-to-run variability in cloud thickness and rainfall amounts, creating genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against Shenzhen’s early-September climatology of around 31°C highs. Updated forecasts expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,250Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 indicate highs near 30–31°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northwest winds of 10–28 km/h, which align with the closely matched market odds favoring those outcomes. Monsoon-influenced moisture and frequent rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from precipitation further limit peak temperatures. Northwest flow may advect slightly cooler air from inland areas, differentiating a 29°C versus 32°C scenario depending on storm timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional models shows minor run-to-run variability in cloud thickness and rainfall amounts, creating genuine uncertainty that traders weigh against Shenzhen’s early-September climatology of around 31°C highs. Updated forecasts expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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