**Current forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms are most likely across the northern tier and parts of the Northeast and Midwest on September 1, 2026, driven by transient shortwaves and frontal activity moving over a ridge.** The 6–10 day outlook highlights above-normal precipitation chances in the Pacific Northwest, Northern Tier, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast, while the south-central and southeastern U.S. lean toward near-normal or lower probabilities. Local Probability of Precipitation (PoP) values from gridded NWS forecasts show 40–65% chances in affected areas, with measurable rain thresholds typically set at 0.01 inches at official stations. Model consensus (GEFS, ECMWF, Canadian ensembles) supports this pattern, though short-term shifts in steering or intensity can alter exact locations before resolution. Historical September patterns feature moderate rainfall (around 9 rainy days nationally), and traders monitor the latest model runs and NWS briefings for adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will it rain on September 1?
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Current forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms are most likely across the northern tier and parts of the Northeast and Midwest on September 1, 2026, driven by transient shortwaves and frontal activity moving over a ridge.** The 6–10 day outlook highlights above-normal precipitation chances in the Pacific Northwest, Northern Tier, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast, while the south-central and southeastern U.S. lean toward near-normal or lower probabilities. Local Probability of Precipitation (PoP) values from gridded NWS forecasts show 40–65% chances in affected areas, with measurable rain thresholds typically set at 0.01 inches at official stations. Model consensus (GEFS, ECMWF, Canadian ensembles) supports this pattern, though short-term shifts in steering or intensity can alter exact locations before resolution. Historical September patterns feature moderate rainfall (around 9 rainy days nationally), and traders monitor the latest model runs and NWS briefings for adjustments ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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