Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C or below 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 Vol.
$1,974 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C or below 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 Vol.
$1,974 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$37 Vol.
No
10°C
$174 Vol.
No
11°C
$219 Vol.
No
12°C
$321 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$226 Vol.
No
14°C
$207 Vol.
No
15°C
$164 Vol.
No
16°C
$169 Vol.
No
17°C
$139 Vol.
No
18°C
$159 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$159 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,974Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,974Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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