Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate showers and thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, with extensive cloud cover and northwest winds limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum. This pattern deviates from the early-September climatological average near 32–33 °C, producing a narrower temperature range centered on 26–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread in peak values, driven by uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much daytime warming occurs before clouds thicken. Trader-implied odds accordingly cluster on 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting the balance between expected precipitation cooling and residual warmth under partly cloudy intervals. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
28°C 31%
29°C 23%
30°C 16%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
31%
29°C
23%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 23%
30°C 16%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$295 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,059 Vol.
9%
27°C
$762 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,342 Vol.
31%
29°C
$1,212 Vol.
23%
30°C
$966 Vol.
16%
31°C
$506 Vol.
5%
32°C
$240 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate showers and thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, with extensive cloud cover and northwest winds limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum. This pattern deviates from the early-September climatological average near 32–33 °C, producing a narrower temperature range centered on 26–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread in peak values, driven by uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much daytime warming occurs before clouds thicken. Trader-implied odds accordingly cluster on 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting the balance between expected precipitation cooling and residual warmth under partly cloudy intervals. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,959Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate showers and thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, with extensive cloud cover and northwest winds limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum. This pattern deviates from the early-September climatological average near 32–33 °C, producing a narrower temperature range centered on 26–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread in peak values, driven by uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much daytime warming occurs before clouds thicken. Trader-implied odds accordingly cluster on 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting the balance between expected precipitation cooling and residual warmth under partly cloudy intervals. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,959Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate showers and thunderstorms across Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, with extensive cloud cover and northwest winds limiting solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum. This pattern deviates from the early-September climatological average near 32–33 °C, producing a narrower temperature range centered on 26–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread in peak values, driven by uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much daytime warming occurs before clouds thicken. Trader-implied odds accordingly cluster on 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting the balance between expected precipitation cooling and residual warmth under partly cloudy intervals. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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