Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting models indicate a September 1 high in Milan most likely near 29–30°C, with limited afternoon cloud cover and light easterly flow moderating peak heating after recent northern Italian heat relief. Daytime solar insolation under weakening high pressure supports these values, while variable moisture and isolated shower potential introduce the main uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this narrow range because historical early-September maxima average around 27–28°C yet current conditions remain above baseline. Updated model runs and Italian meteorological service guidance expected within 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
39%
30°C
38%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$148 Vol.
16%
29°C
$18 Vol.
39%
30°C
$80 Vol.
38%
31°C
$38 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting models indicate a September 1 high in Milan most likely near 29–30°C, with limited afternoon cloud cover and light easterly flow moderating peak heating after recent northern Italian heat relief. Daytime solar insolation under weakening high pressure supports these values, while variable moisture and isolated shower potential introduce the main uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this narrow range because historical early-September maxima average around 27–28°C yet current conditions remain above baseline. Updated model runs and Italian meteorological service guidance expected within 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$285Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting models indicate a September 1 high in Milan most likely near 29–30°C, with limited afternoon cloud cover and light easterly flow moderating peak heating after recent northern Italian heat relief. Daytime solar insolation under weakening high pressure supports these values, while variable moisture and isolated shower potential introduce the main uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this narrow range because historical early-September maxima average around 27–28°C yet current conditions remain above baseline. Updated model runs and Italian meteorological service guidance expected within 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting models indicate a September 1 high in Milan most likely near 29–30°C, with limited afternoon cloud cover and light easterly flow moderating peak heating after recent northern Italian heat relief. Daytime solar insolation under weakening high pressure supports these values, while variable moisture and isolated shower potential introduce the main uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this narrow range because historical early-September maxima average around 27–28°C yet current conditions remain above baseline. Updated model runs and Italian meteorological service guidance expected within 24 hours could shift implied probabilities if convection or clearer skies develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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