**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 30?
Highest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 52%
22°C 35%
21°C 7%
24°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
35%
23°C
52%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 35%
21°C 7%
24°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$594 Vol.
2%
21°C
$767 Vol.
7%
22°C
$1,183 Vol.
35%
23°C
$3,174 Vol.
52%
24°C
$795 Vol.
7%
25°C
$487 Vol.
2%
26°C
$589 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C.
Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,679Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C.
Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,679Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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