Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to an overnight low near 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 2, driven by moderate southwest onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures hinge on cloud cover, wind mixing, and dewpoint depression; lighter winds or clearer skies could allow dips toward the mid-50s, while increased marine stratus or drizzle would hold readings higher. Historical September 2 averages near 56°F provide context, yet short-term model spread creates the near-even market odds between the 54–55°F and sub-50°F bins versus the 56–58°F range. Updated evening model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
60-61°F 99%
62-63°F 99%
64-65°F 99%
49°F or below 98%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
98%
50-51°F
95%
52-53°F
96%
54-55°F
50%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
96%
60-61°F
99%
62-63°F
99%
64-65°F
99%
66-67°F
85%
68°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 99%
62-63°F 99%
64-65°F 99%
49°F or below 98%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
$15 Vol.
98%
50-51°F
$15 Vol.
95%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
96%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
50%
56-57°F
$24 Vol.
32%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
96%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
99%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
99%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
99%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
85%
68°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to an overnight low near 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 2, driven by moderate southwest onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures hinge on cloud cover, wind mixing, and dewpoint depression; lighter winds or clearer skies could allow dips toward the mid-50s, while increased marine stratus or drizzle would hold readings higher. Historical September 2 averages near 56°F provide context, yet short-term model spread creates the near-even market odds between the 54–55°F and sub-50°F bins versus the 56–58°F range. Updated evening model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$84Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to an overnight low near 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 2, driven by moderate southwest onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures hinge on cloud cover, wind mixing, and dewpoint depression; lighter winds or clearer skies could allow dips toward the mid-50s, while increased marine stratus or drizzle would hold readings higher. Historical September 2 averages near 56°F provide context, yet short-term model spread creates the near-even market odds between the 54–55°F and sub-50°F bins versus the 56–58°F range. Updated evening model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to an overnight low near 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 2, driven by moderate southwest onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures hinge on cloud cover, wind mixing, and dewpoint depression; lighter winds or clearer skies could allow dips toward the mid-50s, while increased marine stratus or drizzle would hold readings higher. Historical September 2 averages near 56°F provide context, yet short-term model spread creates the near-even market odds between the 54–55°F and sub-50°F bins versus the 56–58°F range. Updated evening model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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