Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, driven by typical late-summer high pressure over the Valley of Mexico with light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with September climatology of 23–25°C average highs while allowing brief afternoon warming before convective activity increases. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 25°C and 26°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1°C, with lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflecting limited instability and higher odds for cooler readings if showers arrive earlier. Updated NHC and local SMN guidance through early September 3 will refine these short-range variables ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C or higher 14%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
41%
27°C or higher
14%
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C or higher 14%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$173 Vol.
8%
25°C
$177 Vol.
38%
26°C
$243 Vol.
41%
27°C or higher
$190 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, driven by typical late-summer high pressure over the Valley of Mexico with light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with September climatology of 23–25°C average highs while allowing brief afternoon warming before convective activity increases. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 25°C and 26°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1°C, with lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflecting limited instability and higher odds for cooler readings if showers arrive earlier. Updated NHC and local SMN guidance through early September 3 will refine these short-range variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,315Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, driven by typical late-summer high pressure over the Valley of Mexico with light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with September climatology of 23–25°C average highs while allowing brief afternoon warming before convective activity increases. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 25°C and 26°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1°C, with lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflecting limited instability and higher odds for cooler readings if showers arrive earlier. Updated NHC and local SMN guidance through early September 3 will refine these short-range variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,315Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, driven by typical late-summer high pressure over the Valley of Mexico with light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with September climatology of 23–25°C average highs while allowing brief afternoon warming before convective activity increases. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 25°C and 26°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1°C, with lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflecting limited instability and higher odds for cooler readings if showers arrive earlier. Updated NHC and local SMN guidance through early September 3 will refine these short-range variables ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan